Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:14:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cdd…49f2
crypto · 1430 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,206 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,102 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses712 / 691
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1403 / 1430
History coverage60d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day31.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1403 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69
7 days+$69
14 days+$75
30 days−$333
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 02 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 02 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 02 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 02 $12 +$10 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 02 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 02 $16 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 02 $11 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 02 $14 +$8 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 01 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 01 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 01 $13 +$9 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 01 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 01 $13 +$9 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 01 $12 +$10 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 01 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 01 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 01 $11 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 01 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 01 $12 +$8 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 01 $11 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$5 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$846
weather 4% −$247
sports 3% +$40
other 1% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $13 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $13 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $14 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +22.7% +11.0% 71% 71% +13.6%
≤30d 227 -1.5% -10.9% 66% 66% -21.8%
≤90d 1403 -5.4% -14.5% 51% 51% -17.0%
all 1403 -5.4% -14.5% 51% 51% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 51% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 48% -25.0%
15% -30.1% 47% -32.2%
20% -37.0% 45% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2640 history records