Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:50:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cdd…b908
sports · 9 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$76
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)6 / 9
History coverage5d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day44.9
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 51¢ 50¢ $73 $73 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 90¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 80¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $11 $0 -2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$2 -31%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$4
politics 38% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $9 1m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $1 6m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $0 6m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $1 6m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $0 6m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $0 6m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $2 8m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $0 8m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 23¢ $1 9m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 85¢ $2 9m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $2 9m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 34¢ $2 9m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 54¢ $0 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 54¢ $0 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 54¢ $0 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $0 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $0 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $0 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $1 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 47¢ $0 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 52¢ $2 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $2 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 59¢ $2 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 53¢ $0 19m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 53¢ $1 19m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 53¢ $2 19m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $2 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 50¢ $2 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 54¢ $5 22m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 56¢ $2 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.3% -9.3% 67% 33% -5.7%
≤30d 6 +0.3% -9.3% 67% 33% -5.7%
≤90d 6 +0.3% -9.3% 67% 33% -5.7%
all 6 +0.3% -9.3% 67% 33% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 33% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -14.7%
15% -25.9% 0% -22.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.78 · official $75.78 (match) · 207 history records