Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:19:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6ccd…f1f0
crypto · 350 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$12
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses202 / 146
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)348 / 350
History coverage32d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day27.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 348 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$35
14 days+$28
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Falcons 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner GLYPH 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$10 +958%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $14 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$13
sports 11% +$1
tech 0% $0
other 0% $0
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 42m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 31¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 47m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 95¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 +10.9% +0.3% 65% 48% -4.3%
≤30d 270 -1.2% -10.6% 62% 43% -9.3%
≤90d 348 -4.6% -13.7% 58% 42% -10.3%
all 348 -4.6% -13.7% 58% 42% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 42% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 29% -18.9%
15% -29.5% 20% -26.7%
20% -36.4% 16% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.98 (match) · 1047 history records