trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 43% | 14% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 38% | 12% | -10.1% |
| all | 21 | -2.5% | -11.7% | 57% | 10% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.7% | 10% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -20.2% | 5% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -27.9% | 5% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 25 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $50 | −$7 | -13% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $42 | +$5 | +11% |
| Will Stephen Colbert be named in Epstein files? | Mar 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jul 01 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 08 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 07 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30? | Apr 18 | $2 | +$1 | +38% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian | Apr 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 31 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by March? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting? | Mar 21 | $12 | $0 | +3% |