Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cbd…9bb1
crypto · 66 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$49 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses23 / 42
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)65 / 66
History coverage59d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$38
14 days−$236
30 days+$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 36¢ $50 $63 +$13 (+25%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 22¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $38 −$38 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 03 $203 −$198 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $50 +$150 +300%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $77 −$75 -98%
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier May 21 $801 +$333 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 14 $77 −$6 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 14 $31 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 14 $31 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 14 $85 −$52 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 14 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 14 $31 +$31 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 14 $42 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 14 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 14 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 14 $61 +$31 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 14 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 14 $58 −$55 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 14 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 14 $32 −$23 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 14 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 14 $26 +$53 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 14 $15 +$12 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 14 $36 +$26 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 14 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 10 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 10 $57 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 10 $26 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 10 $26 +$43 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 10 $56 −$29 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 10 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 10 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 10 $21 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 10 $21 +$23 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 10 $16 +$15 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 10 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 10 $31 +$16 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 10 $20 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 10 $26 −$14 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 10 $42 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 10 $88 −$85 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 10 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 10 $31 +$61 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 10 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 10 $16 −$15 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% −$477
sports 38% +$793
other 16% −$366
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $7 56m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $31 58m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $14 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 3¢ $37 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev BUY Jakub Mensik 22¢ $203 10d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $50 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 22¢ $77 14d
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier BUY Tommy Paul 70¢ $801 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $16 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $15 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $31 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $10 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $13 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $18 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $21 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-25.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 5 +8.3% -2.0% 40% 40% +3.9%
≤90d 65 -17.9% -25.7% 35% 31% -11.1%
all 65 -17.9% -25.7% 35% 31% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.7% 31% -11.1%
10% -32.8% 28% -19.6%
15% -39.3% 28% -27.4%
20% -45.3% 26% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62.66 · official $62.66 (match) · 267 history records