Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:13:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cbc…26c6
crypto · 127 markets active 2h ago
5.5score
+$1,011 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,020 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$412
Realized+$1,020
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses53 / 25
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions49
Markets (closed)78 / 127
History coverage102d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 49 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$36
14 days+$36
30 days+$1,129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+13%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+1%)
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Yes 50¢ 62¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+25%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 21¢ 24¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Yes 53¢ 58¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? Yes 54¢ 55¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? Yes 46¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$35 +172%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +43%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? May 20 $75 +$1,093 +1458%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Iran leadership change by March 31? May 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET May 09 $150 −$114 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 09 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 09 $350 −$240 -68%
Iran leadership change by March 13? Mar 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Mar 11 $60 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Mar 11 $110 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Mar 11 $106 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Mar 11 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Mar 11 $1 +$4 +394%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Mar 11 $68 −$6 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Mar 11 $80 +$37 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Mar 11 $50 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Mar 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 11 $90 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Mar 11 $100 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Mar 11 $96 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Mar 10 $40 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Mar 10 $101 −$22 -22%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? Mar 10 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Mar 10 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Mar 10 $100 +$23 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Mar 10 $150 −$9 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Mar 10 $230 +$52 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Mar 10 $158 −$114 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Mar 10 $100 +$25 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Mar 10 $100 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Mar 10 $100 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Mar 10 $200 +$17 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Mar 10 $155 −$62 -40%
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Mar 09 $100 −$53 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Mar 09 $100 +$32 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$277
other 7% +$41
world 4% +$1,262
sports 1% −$15
finance 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? SELL Yes 26¢ $0 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? SELL Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 19¢ $0 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 19¢ $8 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 3h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 3h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 3h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 3¢ $3 3h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 3h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 3h
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 72¢ $10 2d
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 90¢ $10 2d
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 72¢ $10 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 2d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 2d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 2d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 2d
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 2d
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 2d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 2d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 66¢ $10 2d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +13.2% +2.4% 33% 33% +31.0%
≤30d 7 +219.5% +189.1% 43% 43% +652.3%
≤90d 13 +76.3% +59.6% 23% 23% +64.9%
all 78 +29.2% +16.9% 68% 41% +8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.9% 41% +8.7%
10% +5.7% 22% -1.7%
15% -4.5% 12% -11.2%
20% -13.9% 9% -19.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $412.07 · official $412.07 (match) · 407 history records