trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | Jun 13 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 13 | $67 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $1,344 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 13 | $1,259 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? | Jun 12 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 12 | $1,257 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | Jun 12 | $1,260 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 12 | $1,298 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 16 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $768 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 16 | $784 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 16 | $746 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | May 15 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | May 15 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 15 | $709 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 15 | $725 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | May 14 | $732 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 14 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 14 | $763 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | May 14 | $696 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on April 2? | Apr 03 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Apr 03 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e | Mar 29 | $73 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 29 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 29 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |