Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:34:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cac…133f
sports · 209 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$114 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$114 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses205 / 0
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)205 / 209
History coverage24d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 205 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$88
14 days+$107
30 days+$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Anna Blinkova 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Krejcikova vs. Ruse: Match O/U 21.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Modena (Doubles): Gorgodze/Karamoko vs Cavalle-Reimers/Salden Jun 13 $33 +$1 +3%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Udvardy vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Udvardy vs. Volynets: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Boulter vs. Vekic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Boulter vs. Vekic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Boulter vs. Vekic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Udvardy vs Volynets Jun 13 $86 +$1 +1%
Marcinko vs. Ito: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Raducanu vs. Rakhimova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova Jun 13 $92 +$7 +8%
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Jun 13 $53 +$2 +4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Aoyama/Liang vs. Neel/Olmos: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Krejcikova vs. Linette: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $31 +$1 +2%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 13 $91 +$1 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
McNally vs. Tomljanovic: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
McNally vs. Tomljanovic: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Caty McNally vs. Ajla Tomljanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
McNally vs. Tomljanovic: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
McNally vs. Tomljanovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Brancaccio vs. Bronzetti: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Brancaccio vs. Bronzetti: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Naef vs. Urhobo: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Naef vs. Urhobo: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Vidmanova vs. Stefanini: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Snigur vs. Montgomery: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Jovic vs. Anisimova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Tan vs. Tararudee: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Tan vs Tararudee Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Mandlik vs. Galfi: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Kasintseva vs. Gormaz: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Sonmez vs. Linette: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Sonmez vs. Linette: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Dart (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Golubic vs. Swan: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Set Handicap: Prozorova (-1.5) vs Kraus (+1.5) Jun 12 $30 +$10 +34%
Jaqueline Cristian vs. Katie Boulter: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 100¢ $100 20m
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 99¢ $99 30m
Modena (Doubles): Gorgodze/Karamoko vs Cavalle-Reimers/Salden BUY Cavalle-Reimers/Salden 97¢ $33 36m
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 1h
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 1h
Boulter vs. Vekic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 1h
Udvardy vs. Volynets: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 1h
Udvardy vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 1h
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $6 1h
Set 1 Winner: Udvardy vs Volynets SELL Volynets 100¢ $87 2h
Set 1 Winner: Udvardy vs Volynets BUY Volynets 99¢ $86 2h
Boulter vs. Vekic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 2h
Boulter vs. Vekic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 2h
Marcinko vs. Ito: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 2h
Raducanu vs. Rakhimova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 SELL Over 100¢ $80 2h
Raducanu vs. Rakhimova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 2h
Raducanu vs. Rakhimova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 2h
Raducanu vs. Rakhimova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 2h
Raducanu vs. Rakhimova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 2h
Set 2 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova SELL Raducanu 100¢ $100 2h
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) SELL Raducanu 100¢ $55 2h
Set 2 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova BUY Raducanu 92¢ $92 3h
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 96¢ $53 3h
Raducanu vs. Rakhimova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $2 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 99¢ $0 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 99¢ $3 3h
Raducanu vs. Rakhimova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $97 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 99¢ $0 3h
Aoyama/Liang vs. Neel/Olmos: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $50 3h
Aoyama/Liang vs. Neel/Olmos: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $50 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 1% -8.3%
≤30d 205 +1.3% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 205 +1.3% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.3%
all 205 +1.3% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 0% -8.3%
10% -17.1% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.1% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.36 · official $6.00 (match) · 454 history records