Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6ca7…dc94
crypto · 323 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16,762 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,734 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$139
Realized−$16,734
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses127 / 329
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)456 / 323
History coverage14d
Avg bet$167
Trades / day246.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 456 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19,099
7 days−$18,224
14 days−$16,734
30 days−$16,734
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 41¢ 34¢ $165 $138 −$27 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $317 $0 −$317 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $777 $0 −$777 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $289 $0 −$289 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $289 −$289 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $302 −$302 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $142 −$142 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $340 −$340 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $236 −$236 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $691 −$691 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $446 −$446 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$609
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $89 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $63 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $119 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $64 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $18 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $87 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $56 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $20 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $95 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $41 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $108 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $6 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-40.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 -41.6% -47.1% 25% 24% -37.3%
≤30d 456 -34.5% -40.8% 28% 27% -31.3%
≤90d 456 -34.5% -40.8% 28% 27% -31.3%
all 456 -34.5% -40.8% 28% 27% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover246.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.8% 27% -31.3%
10% ← realistic here -46.4% 25% -37.9%
15% -51.6% 24% -43.9%
20% -56.4% 22% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $138.65 · official $198.54 · 3500 history records