Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:18:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c98…d6c6
crypto · 1718 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$390 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$236 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$236
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses1094 / 623
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1717 / 1718
History coverage44d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day41.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1717 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$44
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 42¢ 10¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-77%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 45¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$237
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -6.0% -14.9% 44% 44% -15.3%
≤30d 665 -4.6% -13.6% 59% 59% -15.0%
≤90d 1717 -4.8% -13.8% 64% 64% -14.1%
all 1717 -4.8% -13.8% 64% 64% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 64% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 64% -22.3%
15% -29.6% 41% -29.8%
20% -36.5% 26% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.38 · official $0.34 (match) · 3500 history records