Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:13:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c97…988c
other · 287 markets active 42d ago
0.0score
−$352,541 -83%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$352,541 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$352,541
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses223 / 533
Whale WR (big bets)3%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)756 / 287
History coverage53d
Avg bet$1,473
Trades / day61.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 1 History 756 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36,044
7 days+$36,044
14 days+$36,044
30 days+$36,044
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92673%)
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga? Yes -0¢ 0¢ $-4 $0 +$4 (-100%)
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -0¢ 0¢ $-1 $0 +$1 (-100%)
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $-0 $0 +$0 (-95%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,969 $0 −$1,969 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga? Yes -0¢ 0¢ $-4 $0 +$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentar Jun 12 $0 +$179 +3519296%
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $3 +$857 +33466%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Jun 12 $0 +$55 +249762%
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga? Jun 12 $-4 +$4 —%
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $3 +$861 +34071%
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $19 +$52 +279%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $0 +$1 —%
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $-1 +$1 —%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $2 +$102 +6694%
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? Jun 12 $1,969 −$1,955 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$114 +79067%
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Ol Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $3 +$34 +1163%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $0 +$319 +200080%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga? Jun 12 $-4 +$4 —%
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga? Jun 12 $-4 +$4 —%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $1 +$286 +24053%
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Jun 12 $0 +$32 +135356%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $2 +$4 +179%
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Jun 12 $0 +$82 +13657867%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$90 +19633%
Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Jun 12 $0 +$55 +249762%
Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? Jun 12 $571 −$267 -47%
Will Tether be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $3 +$826 +31769%
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $3 +$1,492 +55738%
Will Brest win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $563 −$563 -100%
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Wi Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Czechia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 20 Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 67% −$281,203
sports 17% −$71,735
other 10% −$28,570
politics 3% +$5,418
culture 2% −$9,202
world 0% −$1,584
tech 0% −$1,322
weather 0% −$200
crypto 0% −$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $17 42d
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $17 42d
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $17 42d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $25 42d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $25 42d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $51 42d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $51 42d
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 65d
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 65d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 0¢ $117 84d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 0¢ $135 84d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 88d
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 91d
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 92d
Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 93d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 93d
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 93d
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 93d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+197.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 +413.2% +364.3% 32% 31% -9.5%
≤30d 423 +413.2% +364.3% 32% 31% -9.5%
≤90d 424 +412.4% +363.6% 32% 32% -9.5%
all 716 +228.8% +197.5% 26% 25% -86.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +197.5% 25% -86.1%
10% +169.0% 23% -87.4%
15% ← realistic here +143.0% 22% -88.6%
20% +119.2% 21% -89.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.20 · official $0.20 (match) · 3500 history records