Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T18:03:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6c8d…6148 crypto 120 markets active 1h ago coverage 32d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$971 (-35%) realized −$971 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate38%45W / 75L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day4.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit73%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$985
7 days−$990
14 days−$954
30 days−$1,050
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 62% −$725
other 38% −$321
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +10.2% -0.3% 47% 40% -60.1%
≤30d 117 -0.3% -9.8% 37% 36% -44.7%
≤90d 120 +0.0% -9.5% 38% 36% -44.5%
all 120 +0.0% -9.5% 38% 36% -44.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 36% -44.5%
10% -18.2% 34% -49.8%
15% -26.1% 32% -54.7%
20% -33.3% 26% -59.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -38% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -38% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$20 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.3 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$971
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses45 / 75
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
History coverage32d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 120 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 26 $16 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin above 59,600 on June 26, 1PM ET? Jun 26 $115 $0 -0%
Bitcoin above 59,800 on June 26, 1PM ET? Jun 26 $115 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 26 $6 +$20 +351%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 26 $9 +$5 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 26 $2 +$3 +134%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 26 $105 −$105 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 26 $211 −$200 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 26 $530 −$530 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $647 −$187 -29%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 26 $4 +$6 +158%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$7 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$5 +114%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +15%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $44 +$12 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +124%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +105%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$5 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$32 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $204 +$90 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $16 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin above 59,600 on June 26, 1PM ET? SELL Yes 100¢ $115 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $6 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $9 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin above 59,600 on June 26, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin above 59,800 on June 26, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $115 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $105 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $106 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $106 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $106 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $78 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $29 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $106 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $106 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $105 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $418 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $104 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $42 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $100 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 288 history records