Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:22:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c8b…645c
crypto · 85 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$749
Realized−$90
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses20 / 36
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions29
Markets (closed)56 / 85
History coverage16d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 29 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$242
7 days+$6
14 days−$65
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $250 $247 −$3 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $125 $123 −$2 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11¢ 14¢ $85 $109 +$24 (+28%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $35 $33 −$2 (-5%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $25 $21 −$4 (-17%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-15%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 29¢ 30¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 56¢ 76¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+35%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 66¢ 82¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+24%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 26¢ 20¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-23%)
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+38%)
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Yes 75¢ 27¢ $19 $7 −$12 (-64%)
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 79¢ 88¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? No 83¢ 84¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $906 +$34 +4%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $223 −$223 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $15 +$9 +60%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $136 +$31 +22%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $256 −$209 -82%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $736 +$41 +6%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $238 −$238 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $208 +$231 +111%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $558 +$126 +22%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$26 +259%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $883 +$362 +41%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$3 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 08 $10 −$2 -17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +12%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 1-7? Jun 04 $5 −$4 -68%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2? Jun 02 $15 −$5 -30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $10 +$1 +7%
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 1? Jun 01 $5 −$5 -89%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele Jun 01 $5 $0 -7%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Jun 01 $37 −$9 -25%
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Fukushima United FC end in a draw? Jun 01 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 01 $10 −$5 -50%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 30? May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 30? May 31 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 30? May 30 $13 −$5 -40%
Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $10 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 30 $5 $0 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? May 30 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 30 $10 −$4 -41%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 30 $10 $0 +1%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? May 30 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 30 $5 +$3 +65%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? May 30 $6 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$16
sports 23% +$89
crypto 14% −$154
world 1% −$5
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $123 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $254 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $10 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 3h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 3h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $9 4h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 4h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 4h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 5h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 5h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 5h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 7h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL No 100¢ $159 10h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 99¢ $150 11h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 96¢ $751 11h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 69¢ $5 12h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL No 100¢ $166 12h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $203 14h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 82¢ $15 15h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 81¢ $10 15h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 81¢ $10 15h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 81¢ $101 15h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $147 22h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $202 22h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $34 23h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-33.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -31.5% -38.0% 42% 29% -9.4%
≤30d 56 -26.1% -33.1% 36% 23% -11.3%
≤90d 56 -26.1% -33.1% 36% 23% -11.3%
all 56 -26.1% -33.1% 36% 23% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.1% 23% -11.3%
10% -39.5% 18% -19.8%
15% -45.4% 14% -27.5%
20% -50.7% 12% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $749.43 · official $749.44 (match) · 241 history records