Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:29:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c80…40ad
crypto · 10 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$168 -72%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$162 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$162
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)9 / 10
History coverage3d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$162
14 days−$162
30 days−$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $35 $29 −$6 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $33 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$161
other 30% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $20 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $36 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $32 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $27 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $27 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $27 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $26 3d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $33 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $27 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-90.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -89.2% -90.3% 0% 0% -85.1%
≤30d 9 -89.2% -90.3% 0% 0% -85.1%
≤90d 9 -89.2% -90.3% 0% 0% -85.1%
all 9 -89.2% -90.3% 0% 0% -85.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -90.3% 0% -85.1%
10% -91.2% 0% -86.5%
15% -92.0% 0% -87.8%
20% -92.8% 0% -89.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.87 · official $28.88 (match) · 19 history records