trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +172.5% | +146.6% | 100% | 100% | +146.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +51.2% | +36.8% | 88% | 38% | +84.9% |
| all | 18 | +134.3% | +112.0% | 94% | 22% | +74.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +112.0% | 22% | +74.1% |
| 10% | +91.7% | 22% | +57.5% |
| 15% | +73.2% | 22% | +42.3% |
| 20% | +56.2% | 22% | +28.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | No | 37¢ | 36¢ | $748 | $738 | −$10 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $604 | $599 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $342 | +$590 | +172% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $180 | +$311 | +172% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $228 | +$142 | +62% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9? | May 07 | $190 | −$1 | -1% |
| Bill Clinton charged by March 31? | May 07 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | May 07 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 07 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | May 07 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Mar 05 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? | Mar 05 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in January? | Feb 05 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31? | Feb 05 | $17 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Palantir reach $258 in January? | Feb 05 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $210 in January? | Feb 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| US bank failure by January 31? | Feb 05 | $2 | +$83 | +3471% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition | Jan 09 | $27 | $0 | +2% |