Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c61…bc19
crypto · 1252 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$889 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$889 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$889
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses388 / 810
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1198 / 1252
History coverage88d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day23.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$49
14 days−$49
30 days−$154
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$9 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +747%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$15 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$9 +831%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 27 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 27 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 27 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 27 $1 +$1 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 27 $5 +$2 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$889
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $14 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $9 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $13 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -6.9% -15.8% 27% 24% -30.7%
≤30d 352 -13.1% -21.4% 32% 31% -17.5%
≤90d 1198 -19.4% -27.1% 32% 30% -19.6%
all 1198 -19.4% -27.1% 32% 30% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 30% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 28% -27.3%
15% -40.4% 25% -34.3%
20% -46.3% 22% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2277 history records