Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c5d…ce76
crypto · 1408 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$530 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$530 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$530
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses668 / 740
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1408 / 1408
History coverage66d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day38.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1408 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$80
14 days−$80
30 days−$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$14 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$7 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$10 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$530
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $20 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 -6.3% -15.2% 50% 45% -12.7%
≤30d 444 -8.8% -17.5% 49% 45% -12.7%
≤90d 1408 -7.1% -16.0% 47% 42% -12.4%
all 1408 -7.1% -16.0% 47% 42% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 42% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 36% -20.8%
15% -31.4% 30% -28.4%
20% -38.1% 24% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records