Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c5c…df53
crypto · 488 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,016 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$91 · open −$4,107
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,559
Realized+$91
Unrealized−$4,107
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses376 / 115
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)491 / 488
History coverage76d
Avg bet$1,683
Trades / day35.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 491 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$76
7 days+$202
14 days+$683
30 days+$532
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50¢ 84¢ $6,000 $10,122 +$4,122 (+69%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 50¢ 16¢ $6,000 $1,878 −$4,122 (-69%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $1,544 $1,559 +$15 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Down 32¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $25,370 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 11? Jun 11 $24 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,452 +$2 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 11? Jun 11 $294 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $424 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,912 +$93 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? Jun 11 $316 +$11 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $314 −$43 -14%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$7 +1055%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 11? Jun 11 $740 +$129 +17%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? Jun 11 $29 $0 +1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,870 +$6 +0%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $918 −$184 -20%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $17 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? Jun 10 $739 +$1 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,100 +$1 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $7,390 +$10 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,239 +$1 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 10? Jun 10 $779 +$5 +1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 10? Jun 10 $14 $0 +0%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $3,373 +$3 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? Jun 10 $715 +$38 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $131 +$1 +1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 10 $286 −$12 -4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9? Jun 09 $869 +$1 +0%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $169 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9? Jun 09 $323 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $5,735 +$7 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,187 +$3 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,405 +$2 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,270 +$5 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? Jun 09 $194 −$9 -4%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9? Jun 09 $449 −$11 -2%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $12,935 +$24 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $138 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,350 +$2 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $60 −$8 -13%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 8? Jun 08 $521 +$1 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,012 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 45% −$63
finance 18% +$164
crypto 17% +$302
politics 13% −$4,122
other 7% −$456
sports 0% +$164
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $495 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $396 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $583 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $21 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 39¢ $4 19h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 40¢ $4 19h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $16 19h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $759 19h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $10 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $18 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $276 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $8 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $25 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $2,451 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $49 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 95¢ $47 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 95¢ $0 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $16 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 90¢ $0 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 90¢ $0 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 95¢ $19 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $1 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $15 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $29 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $0 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $195 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 90¢ $0 20h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $499 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 +2.2% -7.6% 77% 2% -9.5%
≤30d 298 +0.3% -9.3% 81% 3% -9.5%
≤90d 491 -0.6% -10.1% 77% 5% -9.5%
all 491 -0.6% -10.1% 77% 5% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 5% -9.5%
10% -18.7% 2% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -26.5% 1% -26.1%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,559.22 · official $13,559.22 (match) · 3500 history records