Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:44:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
6C 0x6c2f…e012 crypto 1315 markets active 0h ago coverage 34d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$286 (-0%) realized −$286 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate97%1270W / 44L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$81per market
Trades / day41.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days−$232
14 days−$527
30 days−$372
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$423
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 828 -0.7% -10.1% 96% 3% -9.8%
≤30d 1168 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 4% -9.9%
≤90d 1314 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 4% -9.9%
all 1314 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 4% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 4% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$65 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$286
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1270 / 44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1314 / 1315
History coverage34d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day41.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1314 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $33 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$4 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $107 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $107 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $133 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $81 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $107 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $107 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$4 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $107 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $134 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $46 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $33 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $107 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $93 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $19 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $42 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $134 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $33 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $107 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $107 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $107 +$5 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $134 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $80 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $107 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $75 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $134 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $134 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $126 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $107 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $107 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $107 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $107 +$5 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $107 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $134 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $33 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $134 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $107 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $107 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $134 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $81 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $116 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $107 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $107 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $134 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $107 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $134 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $46 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $107 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $93 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $134 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $134 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $134 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $33 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $107 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $62 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2682 history records