Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:47:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c2b…36f4
crypto · 634 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,289 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,294 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$839
Realized−$1,294
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses590 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)632 / 634
History coverage41d
Avg bet$349
Trades / day73.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 632 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$67
7 days−$32
14 days−$716
30 days−$3,268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $475 $478 +$3 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $359 $361 +$2 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $325 +$7 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $568 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $262 −$20 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $744 +$36 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 12 $726 +$13 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $59 +$5 +9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $610 +$17 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $157 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $286 +$8 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $458 +$14 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 10? Jun 11 $737 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $206 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10? Jun 10 $522 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $442 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $278 +$8 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $411 +$17 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1,017 −$443 -44%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $125 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9? Jun 09 $312 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $539 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? Jun 09 $281 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $95 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1,025 +$12 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $979 +$9 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $129 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1,265 +$24 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8? Jun 08 $748 +$18 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 8? Jun 08 $943 +$19 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 8? Jun 08 $297 +$6 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1,311 +$42 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 7? Jun 08 $378 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 7? Jun 08 $597 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $414 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1,160 +$26 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $721 +$19 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1,084 +$57 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6? Jun 06 $424 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6? Jun 06 $229 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6? Jun 06 $1,065 +$13 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6? Jun 06 $1,051 +$13 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5? Jun 05 $598 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 5? Jun 05 $441 +$6 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5? Jun 05 $195 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 5? Jun 05 $489 +$11 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5? Jun 05 $336 +$6 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5? Jun 05 $491 +$11 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5? Jun 05 $989 +$20 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? Jun 04 $117 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? Jun 04 $850 +$19 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$890
weather 35% −$428
other 0% +$7
sports 0% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $359 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $475 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $260 5h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $58 6h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $30 6h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $487 6h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $84 7h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $167 7h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 91¢ $26 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 90¢ $25 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 90¢ $51 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 90¢ $34 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 92¢ $46 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 92¢ $62 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $64 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 87¢ $40 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 90¢ $14 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 90¢ $18 8h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 91¢ $10 9h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $27 9h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 89¢ $37 9h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $199 9h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $125 9h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $171 9h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $272 9h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $51 28h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $134 29h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $30 29h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $50 29h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $499 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +0.6% -9.0% 92% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 151 -13.5% -21.8% 74% 3% -13.7%
≤90d 632 -1.9% -11.3% 93% 3% -10.1%
all 632 -1.9% -11.3% 93% 3% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 3% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 1% -18.7%
15% -27.5% 1% -26.5%
20% -34.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $839.17 · official $839.17 (match) · 3500 history records