Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c28…40e7
crypto · 166 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,161 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,099 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63
Realized−$1,099
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses110 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)161 / 166
History coverage208d
Avg bet$398
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 5 History 161 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Yes 83¢ 82¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-61%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29? Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15? No 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23? No 9¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8? No 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? No 77¢ 0¢ $2,555 $0 −$2,555 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 24? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? No 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 14 $10 +$17 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 14 $20 +$9 +44%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? May 03 $90 +$3 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7? Apr 10 $87 +$3 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2? Apr 07 $67 +$20 +30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31? Apr 02 $61 +$6 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30? Mar 31 $49 +$13 +26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28? Mar 30 $43 +$5 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? Mar 28 $45 −$1 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? Mar 26 $40 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25? Mar 26 $43 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24? Mar 25 $40 +$3 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23? Mar 24 $908 −$806 -89%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23? Mar 23 $13 −$12 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22? Mar 23 $844 +$15 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20? Mar 21 $802 +$42 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19? Mar 20 $774 +$28 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18? Mar 19 $762 +$12 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17? Mar 18 $741 +$21 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16? Mar 17 $726 +$15 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16? Mar 16 $583 +$142 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14? Mar 15 $566 +$17 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 13? Mar 14 $523 +$43 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12? Mar 13 $512 +$11 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11? Mar 12 $506 +$6 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9? Mar 10 $496 +$10 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8? Mar 09 $490 +$6 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7? Mar 08 $469 +$21 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5? Mar 06 $460 +$9 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3? Mar 05 $436 +$24 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1? Mar 02 $424 +$11 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28? Mar 01 $403 +$22 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 20? Feb 28 $401 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 19? Feb 20 $384 +$16 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 17? Feb 18 $338 +$46 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 16? Feb 17 $333 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 12? Feb 15 $296 +$14 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13? Feb 15 $309 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14? Feb 15 $314 +$18 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11? Feb 12 $289 +$7 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10? Feb 11 $260 +$29 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8? Feb 09 $241 +$19 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 7? Feb 08 $235 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6? Feb 07 $226 +$9 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4? Feb 05 $223 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3? Feb 04 $192 +$31 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2? Feb 03 $180 +$11 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1? Feb 02 $174 +$6 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31? Feb 01 $171 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30? Jan 31 $168 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$933
other 21% −$2,041
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 83¢ $30 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $20 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $20 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? BUY Yes 97¢ $90 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7? BUY Yes 97¢ $87 68d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2? BUY Yes 76¢ $67 73d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31? BUY Yes 91¢ $61 75d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30? BUY No 79¢ $49 75d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28? BUY Yes 89¢ $43 77d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? BUY No 95¢ $41 79d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? SELL No 100¢ $40 79d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 79d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? BUY Yes 20¢ $4 80d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? BUY No 99¢ $40 80d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25? BUY No 97¢ $43 81d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24? BUY Yes 93¢ $40 82d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23? BUY Yes 23¢ $13 82d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23? SELL Yes 95¢ $13 82d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23? BUY Yes 94¢ $50 82d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23? SELL No 5¢ $50 82d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23? BUY No 88¢ $858 83d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22? BUY No 98¢ $844 83d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20? BUY No 95¢ $802 85d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19? BUY Yes 97¢ $774 87d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18? BUY No 98¢ $762 87d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17? BUY No 97¢ $741 88d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +104.4% +85.0% 100% 100% +66.8%
≤30d 2 +104.4% +85.0% 100% 100% +66.8%
≤90d 20 +6.5% -3.7% 85% 25% -18.4%
all 161 -7.9% -16.7% 68% 25% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 25% -11.0%
10% -24.7% 14% -19.6%
15% -31.9% 9% -27.3%
20% -38.6% 7% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63.09 · official $63.09 (match) · 425 history records