Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:59:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c12…748f
other · 401 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,792 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,176 · open −$407
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,818
Realized−$1,176
Unrealized−$407
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses140 / 139
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$223
Open positions122
Markets (closed)279 / 401
History coverage63d
Avg bet$311
Trades / day35.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 122 History 279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$845
7 days+$813
14 days+$1,551
30 days+$1,628
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 67¢ 68¢ $1,052 $1,064 +$12 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $1,066 $1,057 −$9 (-1%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? No 89¢ 90¢ $824 $828 +$4 (+0%)
Portugal leading at halftime? Yes 58¢ 56¢ $824 $794 −$31 (-4%)
Norway leading at halftime? Yes 62¢ 60¢ $691 $677 −$14 (-2%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 89¢ $617 $625 +$8 (+1%)
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) Côte dIvoire 85¢ 84¢ $555 $554 −$0 (-0%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? No 71¢ 88¢ $442 $553 +$111 (+25%)
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 92¢ 90¢ $391 $383 −$8 (-2%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 89¢ 68¢ $453 $347 −$106 (-23%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? No 87¢ 94¢ $320 $346 +$26 (+8%)
Germany leading at halftime? Yes 79¢ 80¢ $284 $285 +$2 (+1%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $280 $278 −$2 (-1%)
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) Côte dIvoire 96¢ 95¢ $274 $270 −$4 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score No 49¢ 46¢ $285 $270 −$15 (-5%)
Spread: Japan (-1.5) Netherlands 90¢ 90¢ $242 $244 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Japan 90¢ 90¢ $242 $241 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? No 87¢ 86¢ $236 $233 −$3 (-1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30? No 87¢ 92¢ $212 $224 +$11 (+5%)
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye? No 98¢ 98¢ $205 $205 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? No 89¢ 89¢ $186 $186 +$0 (+0%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 72¢ $170 $175 +$5 (+3%)
France leading at halftime? Yes 51¢ 48¢ $165 $157 −$8 (-5%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 48¢ 48¢ $136 $137 +$1 (+1%)
Austria leading at halftime? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $119 $119 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $51 +$4 +7%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $45 +$5 +11%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $108 +$2 +2%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $229 +$26 +12%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $749 +$40 +5%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $41 +$7 +16%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $22 +$8 +36%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $435 +$478 +110%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? Jun 14 $393 +$32 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $410 −$24 -6%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $599 +$51 +8%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $31 +$5 +16%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $719 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $26 −$1 -5%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -24%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30? Jun 13 $91 −$6 -7%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $207 −$78 -38%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $754 −$67 -9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 13 $67 +$24 +36%
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $8 −$7 -97%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Jun 13 $72 +$24 +33%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? Jun 13 $56 −$46 -82%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 13 $5 −$3 -73%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $27 +$268 +995%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $22 +$1 +6%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $54 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $344 +$67 +19%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $82 +$18 +22%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $73 +$155 +212%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $44 −$43 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $18 +$99 +559%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $108 +$3 +3%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $54 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $196 +$7 +3%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $41 +$2 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $47 +$54 +113%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $48 −$47 -97%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30? Jun 12 $519 +$17 +3%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$2,958
sports 16% +$1,058
tech 13% +$38
politics 11% +$89
crypto 8% +$367
finance 6% −$60
world 1% +$7
economics 0% −$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $8 1m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $80 2m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $1,078 2m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 87¢ $22 5m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $34 7m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $3 8m
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Türkiye? BUY No 98¢ $205 23m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 40m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $16 42m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 42m
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? SELL No 93¢ $425 43m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 4¢ $24 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? SELL No 96¢ $392 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 13¢ $179 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? SELL No 99¢ $81 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY No 89¢ $187 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 2¢ $2 1h
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) SELL Côte dIvoire 84¢ $356 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $76 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $14 8h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 12¢ $4 8h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 8h
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30? SELL Yes 22¢ $6 8h
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30? SELL Yes 56¢ $13 8h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 89¢ $630 10h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 20¢ $67 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 -14.1% -22.3% 45% 21% -2.8%
≤30d 181 -10.0% -18.5% 50% 21% -5.4%
≤90d 279 -11.7% -20.1% 50% 18% -10.3%
all 279 -11.7% -20.1% 50% 18% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 18% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 14% -18.9%
15% -34.7% 10% -26.7%
20% -41.1% 7% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,817.54 · official $12,815.71 (match) · 2417 history records