Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c0d…221b
crypto · 162 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$129 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$125 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$125
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses80 / 81
Open positions1
Markets (closed)161 / 162
History coverage27d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day60.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 161 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days+$56
14 days+$56
30 days−$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 63¢ 8¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-88%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$18 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $59 +$43 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$6 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$13 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$34 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$22 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$8 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $23 +$13 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $72 −$59 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +47%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET May 18 $2 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET May 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET May 18 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET May 18 $14 +$6 +44%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET May 18 $6 +$33 +595%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET May 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 18 $16 +$3 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 18 $4 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET May 18 $21 −$18 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET May 18 $21 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET May 18 $46 −$46 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET May 18 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 18 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET May 18 $4 +$5 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET May 18 $6 +$2 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +21.0% +9.4% 76% 76% +0.0%
≤30d 161 -1.8% -11.2% 50% 48% -14.2%
≤90d 161 -1.8% -11.2% 50% 48% -14.2%
all 161 -1.8% -11.2% 50% 48% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 48% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 45% -22.4%
15% -27.4% 40% -29.9%
20% -34.6% 24% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.04 · official $6.74 · 1768 history records