Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c00…d853
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$48 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$167 · open −$214
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$167
Unrealized−$214
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage14d
Avg bet$159
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 1 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150
7 days+$140
14 days+$140
30 days+$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $152 −$150 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $303 +$126 +42%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $102 +$184 +180%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $180 +$143 +79%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $295 −$116 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% −$374
sports 22% +$327
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 13¢ $15 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $202 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $51 29h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $101 30h
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 7¢ $10 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $303 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 35¢ $102 4d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 100¢ $323 14d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 55¢ $180 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? SELL Yes 14¢ $179 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 22¢ $295 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -15.6% -23.7% 40% 40% +12.5%
≤30d 7 -5.5% -14.5% 43% 43% +4.8%
≤90d 7 -5.5% -14.5% 43% 43% +4.8%
all 7 -5.5% -14.5% 43% 43% +4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 43% +4.8%
10% -22.6% 43% -5.2%
15% -30.1% 43% -14.4%
20% -37.0% 29% -22.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.23 · official $0.23 (match) · 14 history records