Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:27:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6c00…6edf other 6 markets active 1d ago coverage 8d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$97per market
Trades / day27.5pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -7.0% -15.8% 0% 0% -15.8%
≤30d 6 -5.7% -14.6% 0% 0% -15.1%
≤90d 6 -5.7% -14.6% 0% 0% -15.1%
all 6 -5.7% -14.6% 0% 0% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 0% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 0% -23.2%
15% -30.3% 0% -30.6%
20% -37.1% 0% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
18.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$6 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage8d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day27.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? Jun 16 $222 −$15 -7%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? Jun 10 $291 −$17 -6%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers next? Jun 08 $42 −$1 -4%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next? Jun 08 $6 $0 -6%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Atlanta Falcons next? Jun 08 $2 $0 -6%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next? Jun 08 $19 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 30h
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 7d
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 218 history records