Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bf1…294f
weather · 90 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,349 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,349 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,349
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses24 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
Avg bet$106
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$251
7 days−$251
14 days−$251
30 days−$251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 4? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 1? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 4? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $288 $0 −$288 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3? No 55¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $121 −$115 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$22 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$48 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$44 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$75 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$43 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $63 −$60 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $78 +$120 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $58 −$55 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $52 +$64 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $79 +$206 +262%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $59 −$56 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $23 −$22 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13? May 13 $20 −$19 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13? May 13 $1 $0 +64%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11? May 11 $115 −$113 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11? May 11 $138 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11? May 11 $36 −$35 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11? May 11 $118 +$2 +2%
Will Berke Özer be the goalie with the most clean sheets during the 20 May 11 $5 +$41 +846%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12? May 11 $22 −$21 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11? May 10 $2 +$1 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 4? May 04 $27 −$27 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 4? May 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 4? May 04 $97 −$93 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4? May 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 4? May 04 $98 +$28 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4? May 04 $15 +$23 +155%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 4? May 04 $3 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2? May 04 $0 +$1 +335%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4? May 04 $136 −$21 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4? May 04 $78 −$77 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3? May 03 $123 −$120 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 3? May 03 $16 −$15 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3? May 03 $61 −$61 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3? May 03 $66 −$66 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2? May 02 $175 −$171 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 2? May 02 $78 −$76 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2? May 02 $6 −$6 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 86% −$1,176
crypto 13% −$173
other 1% +$12
world 0% −$6
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $74 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -22.8% -30.2% 33% 33% -27.2%
≤30d 24 -22.8% -30.2% 33% 33% -27.2%
≤90d 87 -0.2% -9.7% 26% 23% -21.6%
all 90 -0.2% -9.7% 27% 23% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 23% -21.6%
10% -18.3% 22% -29.1%
15% -26.2% 20% -35.9%
20% -33.4% 19% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1191 history records