Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:25:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6B 0x6bef…1544 crypto 122 markets active 12h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (330 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$180 (-5%) realized −$180 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate32%39W / 83L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day330.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$503
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (330 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -22.1% -29.6% 32% 32% -25.9%
≤30d 122 -22.1% -29.6% 32% 32% -25.9%
≤90d 122 -22.1% -29.6% 32% 32% -25.9%
all 122 -22.1% -29.6% 32% 32% -25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover330.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.6% 32% -25.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.3% 27% -33.0%
15% -42.4% 25% -39.5%
20% -48.1% 21% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -34% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$19 · ×1.44 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses39 / 83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)122 / 122
History coverage4d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day330.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 122 Trades
no open positions (69 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$6 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$46 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$27 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $92 −$88 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$55 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$65 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$88 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$20 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$18 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$21 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$26 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$26 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$65 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$14 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$29 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$16 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$56 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$85 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$51 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$67 +584%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$11 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1513 history records