Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:28:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6be9…3493
other · 203 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,615 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,549 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$71
Realized−$3,549
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses81 / 437
Open positions17
Markets (closed)518 / 203
Avg bet$60
Trades / day114.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 17 History 518 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,033
7 days−$4,454
14 days−$3,828
30 days−$3,509
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $60 $42 −$19 (-31%)
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-25%)
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $18 $6 −$13 (-70%)
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $17 $4 −$12 (-73%)
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $3 −$8 (-75%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-30%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $6 $2 −$5 (-73%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+50%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-75%)
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-89%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-83%)
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 12 $18 −$34 -191%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$21 -225%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $49 −$6 -13%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $30 −$27 -90%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -67%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 12 $57 +$19 +33%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 12 $75 −$73 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $190 −$136 -72%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $16 −$14 -86%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$28 -1069%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? Jun 12 $12 +$290 +2420%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$4 -36%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $112 −$105 -94%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 12 $39 −$14 -37%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? Jun 12 $71 −$53 -75%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? Jun 12 $39 +$16 +40%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? Jun 12 $4 +$36 +1006%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? Jun 12 $42 +$201 +485%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? Jun 12 $49 +$2 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -108%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Jun 12 $49 −$48 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $81 −$72 -89%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$10 -161%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$398
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 1h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $10 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $26 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $13 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $14 5h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $8 7h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 9h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 10h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $9 11h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $5 12h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $10 12h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $8 12h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $9 12h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 12h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 12h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 12h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 12h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 12h
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 12h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $11 12h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 12h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 12h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 365 -21.8% -29.3% 11% 10% -55.6%
≤30d 512 +1.1% -8.5% 16% 14% -31.1%
≤90d 518 -0.1% -9.6% 16% 14% -31.3%
all 518 -0.1% -9.6% 16% 14% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 14% -31.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 12% -37.9%
15% -26.1% 11% -43.9%
20% -33.4% 10% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.66 · official $70.66 (match) · 3500 history records