Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:32:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6be8…5eac
crypto · 257 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$242 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$242 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$242
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses167 / 90
Open positions0
Markets (closed)257 / 257
History coverage105d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day30.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$10
14 days−$165
30 days−$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$13 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $91 +$22 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $45 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $91 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $91 +$19 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$10 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$13 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$14 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$81 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $122 +$41 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$42 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $122 −$68 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$32 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$23 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $55 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $45 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$242
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 51% -9.8%
≤30d 139 -8.2% -17.0% 76% 48% -12.4%
≤90d 139 -8.2% -17.0% 76% 48% -12.4%
all 257 -6.8% -15.6% 65% 34% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 34% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 13% -19.3%
15% -31.1% 7% -27.1%
20% -37.8% 4% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records