Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:20:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6be5…a995
crypto · 396 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$85
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses246 / 147
Open positions3
Markets (closed)393 / 396
History coverage158d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 393 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? No 2¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 19 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 19 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 19 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 19 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 19 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 19 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 19 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 18 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 18 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 18 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 18 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 18 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 18 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 18 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 18 $2 +$1 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$65
other 0% −$16
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 2h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 25d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -19.8% -27.4% 58% 42% -16.7%
≤30d 97 -10.2% -18.8% 60% 35% -12.9%
≤90d 272 -8.2% -17.0% 62% 33% -9.0%
all 393 -10.1% -18.6% 63% 35% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 35% -11.1%
10% -26.4% 21% -19.6%
15% -33.5% 14% -27.3%
20% -40.0% 10% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.91 · official $9.98 (match) · 1177 history records