Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bdc…e018
crypto · 1856 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$241 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$241 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$241
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses982 / 829
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1811 / 1856
History coverage65d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day38.2
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1811 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$358
7 days−$307
14 days+$69
30 days+$274
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 59¢ 52¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? Yes 64¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$643
tech 0% −$2
world 0% −$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 373 -27.4% -34.3% 40% 31% -31.0%
≤30d 1219 +3.1% -6.7% 54% 49% -4.2%
≤90d 1811 +1.4% -8.3% 54% 51% -6.6%
all 1811 +1.4% -8.3% 54% 51% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 51% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 49% -15.6%
15% -25.1% 47% -23.7%
20% -32.4% 45% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.50 · official $5.84 (match) · 3500 history records