Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bcb…f3af
crypto · 526 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,278 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,278 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$2,278
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses234 / 291
Est. fees paid−$117
Open positions1
Markets (closed)525 / 526
History coverage45d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day53.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 1 History 525 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$981
7 days−$1,947
14 days−$1,747
30 days−$2,340
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 68¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw? No 35¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5 Over 70¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Athletic Club vs. Fortaleza EC: O/U 1.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $420 −$113 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $247 +$199 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $177 −$50 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$130 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$63 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$49 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$47 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$130 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $98 −$97 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $108 −$103 -95%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $78 +$31 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $122 −$117 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $97 −$92 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $93 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $178 −$170 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $96 +$75 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $102 −$98 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $148 −$140 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $57 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$106 +324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $105 +$140 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $116 −$10 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $105 +$114 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $103 +$50 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $46 −$30 -65%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $266 +$49 +18%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $205 +$60 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $42 +$62 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $47 +$18 +39%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $74 +$51 +69%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $108 −$103 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $106 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $93 −$90 -96%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $142 −$140 -99%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $61 +$77 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $149 +$116 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $103 −$100 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$2,079
sports 27% +$104
other 14% −$302
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $21 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $121 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $300 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-25.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -27.4% -34.3% 38% 35% -24.0%
≤30d 419 -22.5% -29.8% 42% 40% -16.9%
≤90d 525 -17.2% -25.1% 45% 43% -15.3%
all 525 -17.2% -25.1% 45% 43% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.1% 43% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -32.3% 41% -23.4%
15% -38.8% 36% -30.8%
20% -44.8% 28% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.84 · official $20.84 (match) · 2433 history records