Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:01:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bc7…5fdc
crypto · 32 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$258 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$258 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$258
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses10 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day127.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$258
7 days−$258
14 days−$258
30 days−$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 16¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$53 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$28 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $146 +$22 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$13 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$52 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$23 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $118 −$26 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$37 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$10 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$93 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $88 −$20 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$13 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$8 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$28 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 −$2 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$256
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $9 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $9 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $40 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $19 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $32 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $27 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-36.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -30.1% -36.7% 31% 25% -27.3%
≤30d 32 -30.1% -36.7% 31% 25% -27.3%
≤90d 32 -30.1% -36.7% 31% 25% -27.3%
all 32 -30.1% -36.7% 31% 25% -27.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover127.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.7% 25% -27.3%
10% ← realistic here -42.8% 19% -34.2%
15% -48.3% 6% -40.6%
20% -53.4% 6% -46.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 141 history records