Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bbd…b7b9
crypto · 29 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$28 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$32
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses28 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)28 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$32
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 70¢ $30 $22 −$8 (-27%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +3.8% -6.1% 100% 0% -6.1%
≤30d 28 +3.8% -6.1% 100% 0% -6.1%
≤90d 28 +3.8% -6.1% 100% 0% -6.1%
all 28 +3.8% -6.1% 100% 0% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 0% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 0% -15.1%
15% -23.3% 0% -23.3%
20% -30.8% 0% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.03 · official $22.03 (match) · 57 history records