Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:10:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bb3…f90a
crypto · 304 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$481 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,784 · open +$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$197
Realized−$4,784
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses39 / 264
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$302
Open positions1
Markets (closed)303 / 304
History coverage47d
Avg bet$235
Trades / day32.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 303 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$636
7 days−$1,146
14 days−$2,761
30 days−$4,596
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 56¢ $172 $194 +$22 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 9z 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Liquid 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 50¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2,214 −$197 -9%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $751 +$360 +48%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,263 −$341 -27%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $680 −$120 -18%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $990 −$182 -18%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $816 −$40 -5%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $648 −$195 -30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $370 +$1 +0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $588 +$77 +13%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $343 −$172 -50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $319 −$89 -28%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $364 −$16 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $100 −$2 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $153 −$26 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $105 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3,344 +$626 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $217 −$108 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $293 −$32 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $3,470 −$641 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $240 −$70 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $200 −$50 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $135 −$27 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $200 +$58 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $671 +$43 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12AM ET Jun 07 $100 −$2 -2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $491 −$79 -16%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $128 −$14 -11%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $379 −$53 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Jun 06 $150 −$50 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $2,205 +$136 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8PM ET Jun 06 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 05 $100 $0 +0%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $126 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ET Jun 05 $306 −$103 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET Jun 05 $100 $0 -0%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $1,842 −$218 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$1,938
crypto 37% −$2,449
other 12% −$374
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $4 20m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $7 21m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $7 21m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $42 21m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 43¢ $85 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 96¢ $96 41m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 96¢ $144 42m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 89¢ $60 44m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 89¢ $73 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 10¢ $15 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 90¢ $135 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 90¢ $135 45m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 14¢ $2 47m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 11¢ $16 48m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $2 49m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $5 49m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 6¢ $2 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 7¢ $2 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 93¢ $74 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 94¢ $141 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 95¢ $90 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 20¢ $2 52m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 77¢ $3 52m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 20¢ $6 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 20¢ $0 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 20¢ $0 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 20¢ $20 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 81¢ $3 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 81¢ $121 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 46¢ $30 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +73.5% +57.0% 17% 14% -19.4%
≤30d 213 -13.4% -21.7% 13% 7% -18.8%
≤90d 303 -4.7% -13.8% 13% 7% -16.6%
all 303 -4.7% -13.8% 13% 7% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 7% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 5% -24.6%
15% -29.6% 3% -31.9%
20% -36.5% 2% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $197.43 · official $193.79 · 3097 history records