Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:01:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bb2…ddc8
other · 105 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$12 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses7 / 97
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)104 / 105
History coverage125d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 1 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Wizards vs. Pelicans Wizards 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Heat vs. Hawks Hawks 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $8 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $11 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $65 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $107 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $155 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? May 27 $63 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 26 $56 $0 -0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 25 $47 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? May 24 $61 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 23 $160 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $45 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 21 $60 $0 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 19 $50 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 19 $66 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 17 $52 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 17 $58 $0 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 17 $56 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $61 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $47 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 14 $115 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 13 $47 $0 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 13 $59 $0 -0%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 12 $49 $0 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $164 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 10 $55 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 09 $62 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 22 $45 $0 -0%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 22 $62 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 21 $66 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 20 $47 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $62 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $106 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 19 $61 $0 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 18 $108 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $54 $0 -0%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 18 $64 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 18 $54 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $56 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $57 $0 -0%
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 16 $163 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $58 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $98 $0 -0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 15 $49 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 14 $64 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $51 $0 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 13 $47 $0 -0%
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $239 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 12 $65 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap Apr 12 $54 $0 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Apr 10 $63 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% −$4
politics 31% −$3
sports 8% +$19
tech 3% $0
crypto 1% $0
world 1% $0
economics 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $7 1h
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $8 1h
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $8 7h
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $11 7h
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $11 9d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $6 14d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $6 14d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $49 15d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $49 17d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $49 17d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $49 17d
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $63 17d
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $63 18d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $56 19d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $56 19d
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $47 20d
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $47 21d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $61 21d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $61 21d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $51 22d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $51 22d
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $45 23d
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $45 23d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $60 24d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $60 25d
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $50 25d
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $50 26d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $66 26d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $66 26d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $59 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 19 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 83 -0.1% -9.6% 4% 0% -9.6%
all 104 +0.2% -9.4% 7% 3% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 3% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 3% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 2% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.00 · official $7.00 (match) · 326 history records