Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:00:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bb2…732e
crypto · 78 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$922 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$922 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$922
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses19 / 58
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)77 / 78
History coverage147d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$179
7 days−$179
14 days−$179
30 days−$552
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-05-16? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 11? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm Arthur Rinderknech 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys Botic van de Zandschulp 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200? No 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Hugo Dellien vs Laslo Djere Hugo Dellien 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-16? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Albirex Niigata vs. Nara Club end in a draw? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$20 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$28 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$13 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$50 +933%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18? May 17 $197 −$186 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17? May 17 $56 −$53 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? May 17 $73 −$73 -100%
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Albirex Niigata vs. Nara Club end in a draw? May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys May 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Oeiras 4: Hugo Dellien vs Laslo Djere May 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Lukas Neumayer May 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm May 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 15 $95 +$108 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 15 $47 −$44 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 15 $22 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 15 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Mar 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ET Mar 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Mar 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Mar 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2PM ET Mar 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1PM ET Mar 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Mar 11 $10 +$8 +83%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 11? Mar 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$836
sports 3% −$50
other 2% −$30
finance 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $52 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $56 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-44.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -4.3% -13.4% 38% 31% -40.9%
≤30d 41 -34.1% -40.4% 27% 22% -55.3%
≤90d 41 -34.1% -40.4% 27% 22% -55.3%
all 77 -38.1% -44.0% 25% 22% -51.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -44.0% 22% -51.9%
10% -49.3% 22% -56.5%
15% -54.2% 19% -60.7%
20% -58.7% 18% -64.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.94 · official $1.94 (match) · 144 history records