trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +25.1% | +13.2% | 100% | 100% | +13.2% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +71.7% | +55.3% | 69% | 69% | +85.5% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +27.7% | +15.5% | 50% | 50% | +45.8% |
| all | 50 | -19.1% | -26.8% | 32% | 32% | +40.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.8% | 32% | +40.7% |
| 10% | -33.8% | 32% | +27.2% |
| 15% | -40.2% | 30% | +14.9% |
| 20% | -46.1% | 30% | +3.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $25 | $29 | +$4 (+15%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $25 | $27 | +$2 (+7%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $23 | +$6 | +25% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $18 | −$18 | -99% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 07 | $15 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $67 | +$55 | +82% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $10 | +$19 | +186% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $15 | +$25 | +165% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $36 | +$73 | +203% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $68 | +$171 | +250% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $31 | +$41 | +134% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $31 | +$42 | +137% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $15 | +$9 | +61% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 25 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $15 | +$12 | +76% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 21 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | May 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw? | May 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 19 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | May 19 | $7 | +$25 | +344% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $20 | +$44 | +216% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $20 | +$11 | +52% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B | May 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Nov 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Knicks | Nov 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Magic | Nov 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Czechia vs. San Marino end in a draw? | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 15? | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 15? | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 16? | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13? | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Suns | Nov 13 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Hawks vs. Kings | Nov 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Mavericks | Nov 13 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Will DegenPing win the Synthetix trading competition? | Nov 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans | Nov 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will "The Running Man" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomato | Nov 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Kings | Nov 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 12 | $1 | +$1 | +117% |
| Pacers vs. Jazz | Nov 12 | $1 | +$1 | +127% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Nov 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Rockets | Nov 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Nets | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 11? | Nov 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Thunder | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Senators | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |