Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:57:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6ba9…c25f
sports · 547 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,695 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,532 · open −$118
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$372
Realized−$2,532
Unrealized−$118
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses160 / 381
Est. fees paid−$277
Open positions6
Markets (closed)541 / 547
History coverage87d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 6 History 541 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$134
14 days−$313
30 days−$1,835
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 33¢ 19¢ $250 $144 −$106 (-43%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 68¢ 68¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 75¢ 72¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-32%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-83%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals Rajasthan Royals 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Royal Challengers Bangalore 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Ugo Humbert 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Casper Ruud 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Christopher Papa vs Philip Sekulic Christopher Papa 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Rebeka Masarova Rebeka Masarova 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek Iga Swiatek 98¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sinja Kraus vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Anna-Lena Friedsam 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +27%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $20 −$20 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $101 +$53 +52%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $21 −$4 -18%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $25 +$15 +59%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $30 −$30 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$13 +132%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $40 +$22 +54%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $30 +$15 +48%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 +$9 +87%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $17 −$17 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $35 +$18 +52%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $55 −$54 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $26 +$9 +36%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 10 $31 −$30 -98%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $11 −$11 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $3 −$1 -41%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Trinidad and Tobago leading at halftime? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 −$3 -65%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $5 +$11 +223%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 +$16 +81%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $36 −$24 -69%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Philippines vs United Arab Emirates Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $28 +$31 +109%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -90%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $5 +$9 +183%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 Jun 05 $19 −$3 -14%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $51 −$50 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $37 +$7 +20%
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $51 −$9 -18%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $10 −$10 -97%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 05 $41 −$40 -99%
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 04 $103 −$100 -97%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 04 $30 +$30 +99%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 04 $613 +$80 +13%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $48 −$46 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$2,172
other 12% −$315
crypto 2% −$198
politics 0% +$45
world 0% −$7
weather 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $3 51m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 77¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 1¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $20 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $101 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 68¢ $101 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $154 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 65¢ $101 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 38¢ $31 5h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $17 21h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $40 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 63¢ $20 28h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $30 28h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 62¢ $25 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $15 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $24 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $62 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $45 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 39¢ $19 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 30h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 4¢ $9 30h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 7¢ $8 31h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $30 34h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 64¢ $30 34h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $10 37h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 64¢ $10 37h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $54 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $21 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-30.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -29.8% -36.5% 35% 35% -25.8%
≤30d 262 -18.0% -25.8% 31% 29% -29.0%
≤90d 541 -23.2% -30.5% 30% 28% -26.9%
all 541 -23.2% -30.5% 30% 28% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.5% 28% -26.9%
10% -37.2% 26% -33.9%
15% -43.3% 24% -40.3%
20% -48.8% 21% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $372.39 · official $372.39 (match) · 1175 history records