Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6ba6…b221
other · 235 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$73 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses11 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)235 / 235
History coverage123d
Avg bet$199
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$15
14 days−$31
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $188 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $541 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $341 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $585 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $205 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $58 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $58 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $273 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $686 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $139 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $170 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $549 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 10 $360 $0 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $240 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $59 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $371 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $244 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $541 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $60 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $453 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $130 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $137 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $339 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $340 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $147 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $219 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $381 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $199 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $321 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $300 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 06 $562 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $344 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $292 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $374 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $206 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $378 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $63 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $513 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $156 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $63 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $241 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $739 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $574 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $147 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $204 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $165 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $514 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $144 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $287 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 30 $135 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$35
sports 25% −$19
politics 5% −$4
culture 5% −$4
crypto 5% −$2
economics 4% −$3
world 4% −$3
tech 2% −$1
finance 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $57 1h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $57 3h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $57 4h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $57 6h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $57 13h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $58 14h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $58 16h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $58 17h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $58 18h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $58 19h
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $58 24h
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $58 25h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $58 28h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $58 30h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $58 32h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $58 33h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $58 38h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $58 39h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $58 42h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $59 44h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $59 44h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $59 45h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $59 2d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $59 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $59 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $59 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $59 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $59 2d
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $59 3d
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 97¢ $59 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 67 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 235 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1218 history records