Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b8f…449b
sports · 304 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$58,220 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54,502 · open −$3,718
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17,633
Realized−$54,502
Unrealized−$3,718
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses200 / 102
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$6,070
Open positions2
Markets (closed)302 / 304
History coverage52d
Avg bet$4,059
Trades / day62.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,681
7 days+$7,681
14 days−$73,381
30 days−$40,251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 83¢ 77¢ $14,027 $13,068 −$959 (-7%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 73¢ 46¢ $7,323 $4,564 −$2,759 (-38%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 58¢ 0¢ $3,644 $0 −$3,644 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $242 $0 −$242 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1,700 $0 −$1,700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 79¢ 0¢ $1,965 $0 −$1,965 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros 40¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 94¢ 0¢ $14,852 $0 −$14,852 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $313 $0 −$313 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1,393 $0 −$1,393 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ 0¢ $2,953 $0 −$2,953 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1,900 $0 −$1,900 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Iga Swiatek 70¢ 0¢ $2,820 $0 −$2,820 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $5,149 +$2,351 +46%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $9,569 +$2,117 +22%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $8,280 +$5,213 +63%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $13,665 +$3,326 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $3,949 −$3,038 -77%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $15,297 +$692 +4%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $11,083 +$1,444 +13%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $83 +$18 +21%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $18,715 +$1,785 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $412 +$135 +33%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $15,615 +$2,997 +19%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $11,133 +$3,350 +30%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $9,610 +$2,277 +24%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $137 −$134 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $14,869 −$14,852 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $3,651 −$3,644 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $2,712 +$788 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 01 $107 +$41 +38%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilo Jun 01 $1,706 +$1,069 +63%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $790 +$950 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 01 $768 −$750 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 01 $568 +$505 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 01 $528 +$37 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 01 $842 +$210 +25%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $6,766 −$4,245 -63%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $6,673 −$261 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 01 $103 −$86 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 01 $254 −$190 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 01 $238 +$57 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 01 $113 +$86 +75%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 01 $3,572 −$1,802 -50%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $6,773 +$1,519 +22%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $3,738 +$108 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 31 $145 −$140 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 31 $925 −$779 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 31 $1,663 −$1,507 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 31 $1,186 −$1,134 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 31 $1,953 +$1,249 +64%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek May 31 $2,839 −$2,820 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 31 $927 −$900 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 31 $1,742 −$1,700 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 31 $1,954 +$1,277 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 31 $1,541 +$986 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 31 $1,461 −$1,405 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 31 $1,987 +$2,002 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 31 $1,467 −$1,412 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 31 $1,552 −$1,500 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 31 $1,641 +$1,093 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 31 $1,525 +$435 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 31 $1,958 −$1,900 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$53,791
crypto 6% −$4,634
other 0% +$205
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $148 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $9 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $36 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $5 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $6 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $7 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $9 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $24 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $486 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $14 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $61 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $8,693 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $1,213 33m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $2 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $7 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $153 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $25 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $66 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $1 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $7 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $333 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $25 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $473 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $7 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $25 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $66 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $67 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $66 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $124 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $85 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +0.6% -9.0% 80% 67% -3.7%
≤30d 211 -8.2% -17.0% 64% 46% -13.2%
≤90d 302 -5.6% -14.6% 66% 48% -13.5%
all 302 -5.6% -14.6% 66% 48% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 48% -13.5%
10% -22.8% 35% -21.8%
15% ← realistic here -30.2% 25% -29.3%
20% -37.1% 16% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17,632.77 · official $17,038.75 · 3418 history records