Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b88…ab5f
other · 38 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$2 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses18 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage459d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 10 $35 $0 +0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 09 $16 $0 +0%
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? Dec 14 $2 $0 +4%
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? Jun 26 $2 +$1 +38%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championsh Jun 09 $8 $0 +1%
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Offi Jun 06 $9 $0 +2%
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 06 $9 $0 +4%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 02 $8 $0 +0%
Will another person win the South Korean election? Jun 02 $9 $0 +1%
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 01 $8 $0 +0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? Jun 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? May 31 $3 $0 +3%
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025? May 31 $6 $0 +0%
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? May 30 $2 $0 -2%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? May 30 $5 $0 +1%
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend May 30 $2 $0 -23%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? May 28 $7 $0 -0%
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June? May 26 $9 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? May 25 $9 $0 -0%
Will Denmark win the 2025 IIHF World Championship? May 24 $6 $0 -0%
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL? May 24 $5 $0 -7%
Will BTC close above $102K on May 23? May 23 $10 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May? May 22 $10 $0 +1%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? May 21 $10 $0 +2%
Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? May 11 $2 $0 +1%
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more betwe Apr 17 $11 $0 -2%
Trump signs national abortion ban? Apr 14 $21 $0 +0%
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Cana Apr 13 $6 $0 +6%
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? Apr 13 $3 $0 -8%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 13 $1 $0 -4%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? Apr 13 $7 $0 +0%
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? Apr 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? Mar 25 $11 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21? Mar 19 $11 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? Mar 15 $1 $0 -8%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 14 $12 $0 +0%
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Mar 11 $11 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 32% −$1
world 25% +$1
politics 22% +$1
crypto 9% $0
sports 4% $0
culture 3% $0
tech 3% $0
weather 2% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 36¢ $6 1h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 36¢ $19 1h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 35¢ $11 3h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 35¢ $14 3h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 75¢ $35 2d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 75¢ $35 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $8 3d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 45¢ $8 3d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $8 3d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 45¢ $8 3d
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? SELL Yes $0 351d
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? SELL Yes $0 351d
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? SELL Yes $1 351d
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $2 353d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championsh SELL No 86¢ $9 367d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championsh BUY No 85¢ $8 370d
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Offi SELL No 98¢ $9 370d
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Offi BUY No 96¢ $9 371d
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? BUY Yes 96¢ $9 374d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 98¢ $8 374d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 98¢ $8 374d
Will another person win the South Korean election? SELL No 97¢ $9 374d
Will another person win the South Korean election? BUY No 96¢ $9 375d
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 99¢ $8 375d
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 99¢ $8 376d
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $6 376d
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes $0 376d
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes $0 376d
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes $1 376d
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? SELL Yes $2 376d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +1.0% -8.7% 33% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 3 +1.0% -8.7% 33% 0% -8.7%
≤90d 3 +1.0% -8.7% 33% 0% -8.7%
all 38 +0.4% -9.2% 47% 3% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 3% -9.1%
10% -17.9% 3% -17.8%
15% -25.8% 3% -25.7%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 125 history records