trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 10% | 10% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 10% | 10% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 10% | 10% | -8.4% |
| all | 10 | -12.5% | -20.8% | 10% | 10% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -20.8% | 10% | -8.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -28.4% | 10% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -35.3% | 10% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 10% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 12¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Qatar? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $255 | −$10 | -4% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$4 | -28% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$6 | -31% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$1 | -5% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $52 | +$27 | +52% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -73% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $4 | $0 | -6% |