trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 0% | 0% | -37.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 0% | 0% | -37.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +44.6% | +30.8% | 27% | 27% | -32.9% |
| all | 14 | +36.0% | +23.0% | 36% | 21% | -20.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +23.0% | 21% | -20.5% |
| 10% | +11.3% | 14% | -28.1% |
| 15% | +0.5% | 14% | -35.0% |
| 20% | -9.3% | 14% | -41.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 58¢ | 84¢ | $178 | $257 | +$78 (+44%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Jun 19 | $70 | −$26 | -37% |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation? | Apr 07 | $16 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation? | Apr 02 | $10 | +$11 | +112% |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | Apr 02 | $3 | +$30 | +1010% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Apr 01 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation? | Apr 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation? | Apr 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nation? | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Mar 20 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Mar 20 | $53 | +$3 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Mar 20 | $45 | +$4 | +8% |