trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $80 | −$9 | -12% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $2,227 | −$1,247 | -56% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $2,030 | −$1,584 | -78% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -69.1% | -72.1% | 0% | 0% | -69.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -69.1% | -72.1% | 0% | 0% | -69.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -69.1% | -72.1% | 0% | 0% | -69.7% |
| all | 5 | -69.1% | -72.1% | 0% | 0% | -69.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -72.1% | 0% | -69.7% |
| 10% | -74.7% | 0% | -72.6% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -77.2% | 0% | -75.2% |
| 20% | -79.4% | 0% | -77.7% |