Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:08:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6B 0x6b62…33d9 crypto 1697 markets active 7h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d only
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$77 (-0%) realized −$77 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate94%1618W / 103L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$62per market
Trades / day70.1pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$643
7 days−$794
14 days−$922
30 days−$1,125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$386
other 0% −$57
sports 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 -8.9% -17.5% 80% 12% -14.2%
≤30d 1721 -2.4% -11.7% 94% 3% -10.5%
≤90d 1721 -2.4% -11.7% 94% 3% -10.5%
all 1721 -2.4% -11.7% 94% 3% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 3% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 2% -19.1%
15% -27.9% 1% -26.9%
20% -34.9% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$26 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1618 / 103
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1721 / 1697
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$62
Trades / day70.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1721 Trades
no open positions (78 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 12? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $116 −$116 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $101 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -80%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $101 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $111 −$6 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $101 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$9 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$29 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records