trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 28 | -13.0% | -21.3% | 25% | 25% | -28.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.3% | 25% | -28.0% |
| 10% | -28.8% | 25% | -34.9% |
| 15% | -35.7% | 25% | -41.2% |
| 20% | -42.0% | 25% | -47.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 62¢ | 99¢ | $5 | $8 | +$3 (+60%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-17%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08? | Jan 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07? | Jan 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29? | Jan 03 | $3 | +$2 | +72% |
| Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Jan 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03? | Jan 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | Dec 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | Dec 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28? | Dec 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? | Dec 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26? | Dec 27 | $4 | +$7 | +167% |
| Will Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Dec 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22? | Dec 25 | $6 | +$9 | +170% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21? | Dec 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08? | Dec 21 | $2 | +$1 | +70% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? | Dec 21 | $1 | +$4 | +354% |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 21 | $4 | +$6 | +178% |
| Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Prem | Dec 20 | $2 | +$14 | +724% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15? | Dec 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-13? | Dec 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? | Dec 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 07 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06? | Dec 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |