Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:23:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b57…263e
sports · 244 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,052 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,052 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$297
Realized−$2,052
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses97 / 140
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions7
Markets (closed)237 / 244
History coverage70d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 7 History 237 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$171
7 days−$248
14 days−$638
30 days−$700
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 69¢ 69¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 Over 57¢ 57¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 78¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Over 81¢ 82¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+2%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 −$2 -19%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $30 −$1 -4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 −$1 -9%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $104 +$79 +76%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$34 +335%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$42 +404%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$23 +110%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 +$14 +46%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $21 +$50 +242%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 +$54 +105%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $71 +$29 +41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $121 +$47 +39%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $76 +$12 +15%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $46 +$84 +183%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $66 −$66 -100%
Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) Jun 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5) Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $240 −$240 -100%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Spread: Hungary (-1.5) Jun 09 $21 +$43 +210%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $262 +$104 +40%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $31 −$29 -94%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $30 +$11 +35%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $188 −$109 -58%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $82 −$74 -90%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $30 +$9 +30%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $51 −$46 -90%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $71 +$32 +45%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $137 −$137 -100%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $51 +$15 +29%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $51 +$17 +34%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $149 −$30 -20%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $10 +$9 +84%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $101 +$29 +29%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $50 −$14 -27%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $20 +$3 +16%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% −$257
other 22% −$736
politics 18% −$719
world 7% −$5
crypto 4% −$290
finance 0% −$34
tech 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 77¢ $51 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $51 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 69¢ $51 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 69¢ $51 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $30 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 17¢ $8 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 65¢ $29 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 26¢ $9 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $30 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 27¢ $10 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 20¢ $10 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 SELL Under 4¢ $9 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 5¢ $10 2h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 2h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 99¢ $183 2h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 99¢ $45 2h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 65¢ $71 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $52 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $43 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $45 2h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 64¢ $63 3h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 45¢ $41 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $10 8h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 22¢ $10 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $30 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 8h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $70 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -5.1% -14.1% 48% 47% -12.8%
≤30d 132 -7.2% -16.0% 47% 46% -17.0%
≤90d 237 -19.3% -27.0% 41% 39% -22.1%
all 237 -19.3% -27.0% 41% 39% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.0% 39% -22.1%
10% -34.0% 35% -29.6%
15% -40.4% 28% -36.4%
20% -46.2% 19% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $297.39 · official $297.40 (match) · 646 history records