Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:44:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b3a…18d8
crypto · 844 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$227 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$231 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$231
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses420 / 423
Est. fees paid−$56
Open positions1
Markets (closed)843 / 844
History coverage230d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 843 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$32
14 days−$128
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand West Indies 26¢ 16¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-40%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $10 −$4 -39%
Lyon: Hugo Grenier vs Luca Van Assche Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $4 +$7 +180%
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $6 +$2 +32%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 08 $6 +$12 +190%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Emilio Nava Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Gabriela Knutson Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Milos Karol Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Centurion 2: Robert Strombachs vs Philip Henning Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Centurion 2: Alec Beckley vs Tuncay Duran Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 04 $8 −$1 -11%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 04 $20 −$20 -100%
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankin Jun 03 $6 −$6 -100%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 02 $20 −$20 -100%
Heilbronn: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Pedro Martinez Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $8 −$4 -53%
Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Kilian Feldbausch Jun 01 $6 −$6 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Kayla Day May 31 $4 +$7 +167%
ITF Bol: Noa Vukadin vs Duje Ajdukovic May 31 $10 +$10 +102%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 30 $20 −$20 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 30 $4 +$9 +237%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien May 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska May 30 $10 +$9 +87%
Centurion: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Giles Hussey May 30 $6 +$22 +364%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $16 +$12 +75%
Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Remy Bertola May 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Centurion: Semen Pankin vs Eliakim Coulibaly May 29 $10 +$9 +88%
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Susan Bandecchi May 28 $10 −$10 -100%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 28 $10 +$15 +144%
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys May 28 $10 −$10 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Mayar Sherif May 28 $4 −$3 -62%
Centurion: Alec Beckley vs Stefano Napolitano May 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Kosice: Federico Bondioli vs Kilian Feldbausch May 28 $17 +$8 +44%
Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Tristan Boyer May 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% +$160
sports 40% +$91
other 7% −$56
weather 0% +$34
world 0% $0
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 26¢ $10 37m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw SELL Felix Balshaw 24¢ $8 58m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 28¢ $10 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa SELL South Africa 0¢ $0 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 23¢ $10 4h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady BUY Liam Broady 12¢ $4 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 7¢ $6 24h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 6¢ $3 32h
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja BUY Darja Semenistaja 16¢ $4 3d
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano BUY Felix Gill 15¢ $4 3d
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava BUY Pedro Boscardin Dias 7¢ $2 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 21¢ $4 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 43¢ $6 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 41¢ $6 4d
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler SELL Karolina Pliskova 75¢ $11 4d
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler BUY Karolina Pliskova 26¢ $4 5d
Lyon: Hugo Grenier vs Luca Van Assche BUY Hugo Grenier 6¢ $4 5d
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancaccio BUY Pierluigi Basile 21¢ $6 5d
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov SELL Marin Cilic 37¢ $8 5d
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Marin Cilic 27¢ $6 5d
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson SELL Laura Samson 62¢ $18 5d
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 20¢ $5 5d
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 24¢ $1 5d
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire BUY Durham 66¢ $5 6d
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Emilio Nava BUY Henri Squire 14¢ $4 7d
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan BUY Hynek Barton 4¢ $4 7d
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Gabriela Knutson BUY Gabriela Knutson 18¢ $10 9d
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Milos Karol BUY Milos Karol 7¢ $4 9d
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Joao Lucas Da Silva BUY Joao Lucas Da Silva 12¢ $4 9d
Centurion 2: Robert Strombachs vs Philip Henning BUY Robert Strombachs 11¢ $4 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -43.7% -49.1% 20% 20% -43.8%
≤30d 110 +13.8% +2.9% 32% 32% -19.0%
≤90d 381 +0.7% -8.9% 45% 40% -12.3%
all 843 -3.2% -12.5% 50% 42% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 42% -7.4%
10% -20.8% 35% -16.3%
15% -28.5% 29% -24.4%
20% -35.5% 23% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.96 · official $5.96 (match) · 2173 history records