Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:37:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b39…6748
sports · 7 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$73 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$72 · open −$50
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$173
Realized+$72
Unrealized−$50
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)4 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 3 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days+$72
14 days+$72
30 days+$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 51¢ 52¢ $98 $99 +$1 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $48 $49 +$1 (+2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 16¢ $77 $25 −$52 (-68%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $27 +$19 +72%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $30 +$15 +51%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $35 +$52 +149%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 −$14 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% +$73
other 46% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $79 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $30 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 19¢ $15 12h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 25¢ $45 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $27 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $35 17h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $100 20h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 51¢ $100 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +42.9% +29.3% 75% 75% +51.9%
≤30d 4 +42.9% +29.3% 75% 75% +51.9%
≤90d 4 +42.9% +29.3% 75% 75% +51.9%
all 4 +42.9% +29.3% 75% 75% +51.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +29.3% 75% +51.9%
10% +16.9% 75% +37.4%
15% +5.6% 75% +24.1%
20% -4.7% 75% +11.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $172.82 · official $172.82 (match) · 11 history records